Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002406 0.002557 0.002718 0.002904 0.003114 0.003344 0.003618
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002195 0.002405 0.002642 0.002933 0.003284 0.003703 0.004252
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002059 0.002308 0.002602 0.002982 0.003470 0.004097 0.005000
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001922 0.002191 0.002518 0.002957 0.003551 0.004361 0.005631
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001844 0.002135 0.002499 0.003006 0.003725 0.004775 0.006582
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001758 0.002059 0.002444 0.002995 0.003810 0.005067 0.007426
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001670 0.001973 0.002367 0.002944 0.003824 0.005245 0.008122
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001634 0.001951 0.002374 0.003010 0.004022 0.005762 0.009713
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001596 0.001924 0.002368 0.003056 0.004192 0.006268 0.011577
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001533 0.001859 0.002305 0.003007 0.004194 0.006454 0.012745
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001463 0.001780 0.002218 0.002913 0.004108 0.006441 0.013331
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001424 0.001743 0.002187 0.002905 0.004172 0.006761 0.015273
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001339 0.001639 0.002058 0.002735 0.003933 0.006388 0.014524
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001312 0.001617 0.002049 0.002761 0.004061 0.006885 0.017807
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001292 0.001603 0.002051 0.002805 0.004231 0.007544 0.023238
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001257 0.001566 0.002015 0.002782 0.004267 0.007872 0.027844
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001240 0.001555 0.002019 0.002826 0.004444 0.008665 0.040140
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001212 0.001527 0.001993 0.002817 0.004506 0.009147 0.054227
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001178 0.001487 0.001949 0.002771 0.004482 0.009341 0.067477
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001168 0.001484 0.001962 0.002830 0.004706 0.010514 0.163397
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001156 0.001476 0.001965 0.002871 0.004894 0.011703 1.587546
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001127 0.001442 0.001926 0.002827 0.004867 0.011972 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001091 0.001397 0.001867 0.002742 0.004730 0.011689 NaN